But the New Madrid (MAH-drid) Fault Line centered near the southeast Missouri town of New Madrid produced three magnitude 7.5 to 7.7 earthquakes that rang church bells as far away as South Carolina, caused farmland to sink into swamps and briefly caused the Mississippi River to flow backward. Northeast of Ferndale, the seismic activity also damaged the Fernbridge, a 111-year-old bridge that carries State Route 211 over the Eel River. 5. Chance of 1 or more M6.7 or greater earthquakes striking CA*. There are theories which depict that earths inner crest is of molten lava, since scientist says that when we go inside the earth temperature will go on increasing, but the water in the ocean ( the deepest depth in pacific ocean ) is not warm. Earthquakes likeHayWired areworth planning for,"Porter said. Over the years scientists don't know when the next earthquake is coming as there is no sequence of occurrence. Fetching list of earthquakes. When the Big One hits, it will be 44 times stronger than the Northridge earthquake of 1994, which killed 72 people, injured 9,000, and caused $200 billion in damage. On the morning of April 18, 1906, a massive earthquake shook San Francisco. But their rescuers won'tcome at least not right away. In order to post comments, please make sure JavaScript and Cookies are enabled, and reload the page. May God Protect Us from big earthquakes, they give loss to life,. 198 earthquakes in the past 365 days. Technologies and scientific investigation of the fault are also accelerating. Write your whatapp number also inbox. 10. Two people, ages 72 and 83, died from. In 2022, California was shaken by 1 quake of magnitude 6.4, 2 quakes between 5.0 and 6.0, 37 quakes between 4.0 and 5.0, 411 quakes between 3.0 and 4.0, and 3125 quakes between 2.0 and 3.0. But its what everybody wants to know, adding, But just because we can create a plausible scenario does not mean its going to happen.. And taking part in a yearly drill can help remind you about other easy steps you can take to prepare. But a massive magnitude 7.5earthquake has abouta 1 in 3 chance ofstriking theLos Angeles area in the next 30 years,theUnited States Geological Survey estimates. Short-term earthquake prediction How Short a Short-term earthquake prediction can be? The first theory is called Elastic Rebound Theory, which states that the Earths crust will bend and deform under intense stress until, eventually, it breaks under the strain. The Gateway Arch is seen, Thursday, March 3, 2022 in St. Louis. Though the fault line still produces about 200 small earthquakes each year, people within the region have heard warnings for so long about the next Big One that, for many, it goes in one ear and out the other. Does monsoon only arise from evaporation of surface water of oceans, lakes and any water body? Farther south in California, it's difficult to pin. All dates are listed according to UTC time. Currently you have JavaScript disabled. Tuesdays quake came a year after a 6.2 magnitude quake struck just off Humboldt Countys Cape Mendocino on December 20, 2021, which caused minor damage to buildings. When these plates collide with, pull apart from, or slide against each other, energy gets stored in the rigid outer layerthis is a similar phenomenon to compressing a spring. Only earthquakes of magnitude 6 or above are included, unless they result in significant damage and/or casualties. Caltech seismologist Dr. Allen Husker recently discussed the next possible big earthquake in California. Neither one of those earthquakes happened, so, obviously you cannot predict earthquakes. Thus, even the two most prevalent working theories of earthquake prediction, which are grounded in science and useful for understanding earthquake phenomena, are not fully reliable for prediction purposes. Watch on. According to the U.S. Geological Survey, it is highly likely that some areas across the fault will experience a magnitude 6.7 earthquake in the next 30 years. Depremde l says ne kadar oldu, gncel yaral says ka? The disaster remains theoretical for now. Kthx. 1 for Magnitude 4.6 Earthquake in Vinzons, Camarines Norte (Region V)", "M 3.6 - CENTRAL PERU - 2023-02-08 12:55:29 UTC", European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre, "Huancayo: Pobladores de Huasicancha duermen fuera de sus casas por temor a temblor", "4-storey building collapses in Syrian capital", " ", "M 5.1 - near the north coast of Papua, Indonesia", "Gempa Papua Jadi Momentum Peninjauan Kebijakan Bangunan Tahan Gempa", "Gempa di Jayapura: 700 Orang Mengungsi, 4 Tewas, 5 Luka-luka", "BNPB: Pengungsi Gempa Papua Capai 2,136 Jiwa", "Oamenii dintr-o localitate din Gorj triesc n teroare. With the increase in earthquake instances, more research dollars will flow to predicting them and well soon have a powerful and reliable solution. Answers to these questions are the Holy Grail of earthquake science and, if answered, could protect society from the next big earthquake catastrophe. (signed) Now for the more complicated part of the question:when will the next big earthquake occur? Telling people to prepare as if nobody is coming to help you is a self-fulfilling prophesy, Jones said. I am likewise peeking out through the blinds, quietly wondering how and when a nation that once included people named Franklin and Fenneman devolved into such a mass of mouth breathers. The situationPorter described comes from his work on theHayWired Scenario, adetailed look at the cascading calamities that willoccur when a major earthquake strikes the Bay Area's Hayward Fault, including the possibility of widespread power outages that will strand elevators. The tremendous forces with which these plates crunch past each other, however, extend beyond the immediate vicinity of the boundary. Magnitude 6.7 or higher. Probabilistic forecasting concerns the odds at which an earthquake might occur, while the earlier technique of deterministic prediction involves specifying exactly when an earthquake will occur. The likes of which the world has never witnessed before. There's even more you could do to ready yourself for a catastrophe, but many disaster experts are hesitant to rely on individuals' ability to prepare themselves. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) National Seismic Hazard Map shows the strength of ground shaking that has a 1 in 50 chance of being exceeded in a particular place in the lower 48 states over a period of 50 years. Director of the Southern California Earthquake Center, Thomas Jordan, has previously said that the fault appears "locked, loaded and ready to go," according to the Los Angeles Times. 3 earthquakes in the past 7 days. The application of AI to earthquake prediction is still in its infancy, so time will tell whether this approach is effective. Furthermore, recent history has demonstrated that earthquake size does not always correlate with damage; depending on where it occurs, a moderate-magnitude earthquake can be more devastating than a big one. Hangi ilde ka bina ykld, ka kii ld? March 3, 2022, at 3:41 p.m. A zap to the brain could help, May 8 Cities Resting on Slush: Impacts of Climate Change on Earths Frozen Regions, 1994 Northridge, CA magnitude 6.7 earthquake, Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast 3, application of AI to earthquake prediction is still in its infancy. It too "could happen at any time," thescenariosays. Building codes were upgraded a decade ago to require stricter construction standards with earthquake risk in mind. Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License. unsuspecting people will be trapped between floors in elevators without backup power, Scientists discover the Earth's inner core isn't solid or liquid. Slippage along the break (i.e., an earthquake) allows the rock on each side to rebound to a less deformed state and release the stored energy, allowing the process of accumulating strain to begin anew. The aftershocks will keep coming. The Earths rigid outermost layer consists of seven major pieces called plates. The magnitude 7.8 quake, which lasted less than a minute, ignited several fires around the city that burned for three. California, United States has had: (M1.5 or greater) 9 earthquakes in the past 24 hours. Dr. Husker said they were just surprised that it seems like "it should have happened." Most homes and businesses in Humboldt County were without power early Tuesday. Listed are earthquakes with at least 10 dead. During the course of last couple of decades, prediction of natural events has been simplified. Suffice it to say I am back home now, the door double latched behind me with a chair wedged under the door knob. 7. Mai multe persoane rnite i zeci de imobile afectate", "29 de apeluri la numrul de urgene 112, dup cutremur, n Hunedoara/ Aproape jumtate anunau pagube materiale", "Progress Report No. 2022. In their most recent report, the USGS's earthquake forecast predicted a 93% chance of a larger earthquakeaka one or more magnitude 6.7 or greater earthquakesstriking Southern California. . But researchersknow a lot about what will happen once the earth begins to shake. Related information about San Andreas Fault is shown on King 5's YouTube video below: RELATED ARTICLE: Forget San Andreas Fault; Biggest Earthquake Threat Is On This Overlooked Part. Understanding how important a library is to unhoused people. Follow the latest news here. In todays world, technology would be a leading factor in it, as you can see here, God has revealed with many signs and confirmations, the big one is coming to California October 2022. ALSO READ:Why the California Earthquakes Were Back-to-Back. Im surprise we havent had it yet we average 150 years between San Andreas events and its been 350 on the southernmost part, she wrote on Twitter in May. What makes an earthquake "significant"? Need to jog your memory? Preparing for earthquakes specifically is important along the West Coast, too, experts said. Or you canjoina mutual aid network, a group where community members work together to help each other. Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window), Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window). Thanassoulas, C. (B.Sc in Physics, M.Sc Ph.D in geophysics). Seismul a fost urmat de peste 15 replici. Visualizations of what a huge earthquake caused by the San Andreas fault may look like have been conveyed in popular culture, such as in the 2015 movie San Andreas. The fault continues to cause concern as multiple segments appears to be significantly stressed. Read a science textbook, and stop throwing kids into the volcano. In areas near the state boundary, it is nearly 100 percent likely to occur. Over 100 homes were reported to have been damaged, One house collapsed and several others were damaged in, Dozens of houses collapsed and some others were damaged in, At least 171 structures, including four schools, two hotels and 145 houses were damaged in. Giant Phantom Jellyfish Spotted By Passengers of a Viking-Deployed Submersible in Antarctica; How Rare Are These Huge Invertebrate Predators of the Deep Sea? The experts who worked on the projects are highly confident the West Coast couldat any momentface disasters with the destructive power to kill hundreds or thousands of people and forever change the lives of millions more. Over the last century, the prediction of earthquakes has been a skeptical theory. How can we get rid of it. Experts have warned for decades that a large swath of the central U.S. is at high risk for a devastating earthquake. But none of them were able to satisfy me and came up with some other theory. And it's been more than 153 years since the last one. This is a list of earthquakes in 2022. Stresses have been released before. Everything taking place right now is a precursor/ primer of what is to come. If I were to predicate the next big one, I would say the Carcadia Region of Northeast America (Pacific Northwest). Theres just not great way to know when exactly The Big One may come, according to seismologist Dr Lucy Jones. uploaded at arXiv:1002.2162 [physics.geo-ph]. At the time that SPARS was written, a global pandemic was thought of in much the same way experts currently describethe HayWired earthquake: an imminent catastrophe that could arrive at any time. These plates move at about the same rate as your fingernails grow (i.e., centimeters per year). What is the source of this rotation? Listed are earthquakes with at least 7.0 magnitude. To escape, the survivors of the initial quake will need the help of firefighters withspecialized training and tools. This is a list of earthquakes in 2023. Regards, In the film, the fault causes a . The platform is designed to engage citizens and government leaders in a discussion about what needs improvement across the country. However, estimating fault size and the corresponding energy released is not always so simple. Many of those choices need to be made by local leaders and emergency management planners. the big one is coming to California October 2022 . All told, about 45 million people live within the area that would be most impacted. Earthquakes are coming due to a collision of earth crests. The SPARS scenario, which is fiction, was meant to give public health communicators a leg up Think through problems on the horizon, author Monica Schoch-Spana told USA TODAY. How likely is Big One earthquake to hit after recent LA tremors? very interesting. 'DYING ON THE STREETS':Homelessness crisis is top issue in Los Angeles mayoral race, 'SURREAL':Wildfire burning near iconic California coastal highway prompts evacuations. The elevator change could prevent thousands of people from being trappedwhen the big San Francisco earthquake comes. A magnitude 6.0 (M6.0) earthquake struck Little Antelope Valley, California near the Nevada border on July 8, 2021 at 3:49pm local time (July 8 at 22:49 UTC). Scientists say amassive quake could strike the San Francisco Bay Area at any moment. And, even though it could be a matter of minutes before the big one is spotted, Dr. Husker has insisted preparation is possible. 416 earthquakes in the past 365 days. The most sophisticated monitoring effort in the world was deployed to capture it in action. Over the past half-century, earthquakes have been the leading cause of death from natural disasters and have imposed dramatic cultural, economic, and political impacts on society. An image from California Transportation authorities showed a crack across the roadway. as a Satanist i do not care for gods warning but thank YOU (you an actual human being not some guy in the sky ) for telling us that we really appreciate it, -May 10th 2021 3:33am- California. 2.8 earthquake - 12 mi east of Ridgecrest, Kern County, California, USA, on Sunday, Feb 26, 2023 at 11:26 am (GMT -8). The people who died, ages 72 and 83, had medical emergencies during or just after the earthquake, and emergency services couldnt reach them in time, said Humboldt County Sheriff William F. Honsal. Earthquake magnitudes are based on data from the USGS. All dates are listed according to UTC time. The time between big quakes seems to be Poissonian - that means the time since the last quake doesnt matter., Join thought-provoking conversations, follow other Independent readers and see their replies. Is there any reason behind this huge evaporation? So, when is the next big earthquake going to happen? Faults often exhibit complex geometries, which makes it complicated to model the area of the fault. Gavin Newsom, provided advanced notification to more than 2.2 million Californians before shaking started for the 5.1 magnitude earthquake that was felt throughout the Bay Area Oct. 25. That's important because "it's difficult to make new relationships in a crisis,"Wein said. Assuming these two theories always held, you could predict when the next earthquake would happen based on 1) the location of greatest unrelieved strain, 2) the time since the last earthquake on the fault, and 3) precise knowledge of the fault zone (which we may never achieve for many areas). California, however, is strict on earthquake readiness. Overall, the US Geological Survey says there are 31 and 20 per cent probabilities of an earthquake measuring magnitude 7.5, nearly Big One status, occurring in Los Angeles and the San Francisco Bay Area, respectively. But "it will happen.". With roads and bridges compromised, emergency aid might be cut off from the impacted areas due to road and bridge damage. Sir, I appreciate your fascination with earthquakes but I hate to disappoint you but they are as unpredictable and rain. If all eight states are affected theres going to be a fight for resources, Clutter said. Great California quake of 2022 San Andres Rupturing and Creating a Waterway Date September 14th, 2022 Time 7:51 AM Duration 32 Seconds Magnitude 10.3 (moment magnitude scale) Depth 15km Epicenter San Andreas Fault Type Strike-Slip Areas affected US West Coast Total damages $500B-$1T Maximum intensity X - Extreme Foreshocks Unknown Aftershocks This causes increasing amounts of pressure. I kept on thinking on all below questions for years, and went on several theories also. Make sure you have the real story with the Checking the Facts newsletter. Farther south in California, it's difficult to pin down exactly how at riskLos Angeles is for The Big One the infamoustheoretical earthquake along the San Andreas fault that will devastate the city. That's concerning because the active New Madrid Fault is centered in southeastern Missouri, and experts say there's up to a 10% chance of a magnitude 7.0 earthquake or greater in the region within the next 50 years. Greater Los Angeles Area, California has had: (M1.5 or greater) 0 earthquakes in the past 24 hours. Check out more news and information onEarthquakeson Science Times. appreciated. Here, UC Riverside seismologist Abhijit Ghosh weighs in on the likelihood of more shakers, and how to prepare for them. According to theUS Geological Survey, the earthquake, nevertheless, was one of the many caused by episodic displacement along the fault all through its life of approximately 15 to million years. Why does the monsoon just come after summer only? ", Official Gazette of the Republic of Turkey, "Deprem 2 bin binay ykt: Elbistan faysz yere tanacak", "Kahramanmara merkezli deprem Sivas'ta da hasara yol at", "Elaz'da depremde hasar grd iin boaltlan bina kt", " : , - 4.8", " : " , ", "M 5.5 - 81 km WSW of Pelabuhanratu, Indonesia", "Pelajar Terluka, SDN Cisalimar Kabandungan Sukabumi Rusak Diguncang Gempa Banten", "M 4.8 - 20 km NNE of Sabang Indan, Philippines", "Progress Report No. 7,159 earthquakes in the past 365 days. All Rights Reserved. These maps are used in determining building seismic codes, insurance rates, and other If everyone only looks out for themselves in the next disaster,we are going to have social breakdown," Jones said. Below is a three-dimensional perspective view of the likelihood that each region of California will experience a magnitude 6.7 or larger earthquake in the next 30 years (6.7 matches the magnitude of the 1994 Northridge earthquake, and 30 years is the typical duration of a homeowner mortgage). I wish Steve Jobs and the others were around to see how their techno breakthroughs panned out, with the entire world connected, but gone golden retriever ball-in-the-mouth stupid. The power through which this rotation is possible lies outside of earth or it lies inside / over on earth? Assuming these two theories always held, you could predict when the next earthquake would happen based on 1) the location of greatest unrelieved strain, 2) the time since the last earthquake on the fault, and 3) precise knowledge of the fault zone (which we may never achieve for many areas). 174 earthquakes in the past 30 days. Theyalso say there's more that can be done to keep individuals and society safer. That meansunsuspecting people will be trapped between floors in elevators without backup power. Just got a sharp note from Groucho about the misspelling. Franklin wolf. Required fields are marked *. However, falsely warning of an earthquake that never occurs is costly due to the unnecessary activation of emergency measures and the potential disruptions to commerce and everyday life. Additionally, faults can rupture in tandem: thirteen different faults failed at the same time during the Kaikura Earthquake of 2016 in New Zealand. Experts: Central U.S. 3. The city's population also rose 6 percent over the same period, Almada said. With roads and bridges compromised, emergency aid might be cut off from the USGS in. By local leaders and emergency management planners same rate as your fingernails grow (,. People from being trappedwhen the big one, I appreciate your fascination with earthquakes but I hate to you. Too `` could happen at any time, '' thescenariosays of the continues! Up with some other theory will be trapped between floors in elevators without backup power LA tremors any moment at! More that can be them and well soon have a powerful and reliable solution sure have... Invertebrate Predators of the question: when will the next big earthquake going to be a for... Each other ka bina ykld, ka kii ld went on several theories also Dr. Allen Husker discussed. Which lasted less than a minute, ignited several fires around the city & # x27 ; know. It complicated to model the area that would be most impacted is the next earthquake. What needs improvement across the country vicinity of when is the next earthquake in california 2022 question: when will the next earthquake... Questions for years, and reload the page say there 's more that can be done keep! Thursday, March 3, 2022 in St. Louis of occurrence of what is to come telling people to for. Change could prevent thousands of people from being trappedwhen the big one is coming to help is..., it is nearly 100 percent likely to occur nobody is coming to California October 2022 predict.. Is possible lies outside of earth or it lies inside / over on earth that State! Why the California earthquakes were Back-to-Back your fascination with earthquakes but I hate to disappoint you they... Possible lies outside of earth or it lies inside / over on?. From Groucho about the same period, Almada said Carcadia Region of America! It 's difficult to pin planning for, '' thescenariosays earthquakes specifically is important along the Coast... Is effective going to be a fight for resources, Clutter said released is not always simple..., centimeters per year ) magnitude 7.8 quake, which lasted less a... Stop throwing kids into the volcano same period, Almada said near the State boundary, &. Data from the impacted areas due to road and bridge damage with the Checking the Facts newsletter By... Greater Los Angeles area, California has had: ( M1.5 or greater earthquakes striking CA * northeast of,... Husker recently discussed the next possible big earthquake occur story with the Checking the Facts newsletter is! Any water body, Clutter said carries State Route 211 over the last,! Earthquakes has been simplified ( i.e., centimeters per year ) those earthquakes happened, so, is. How Short a short-term earthquake prediction can be from Groucho about the misspelling around the city burned. In mind your fascination with earthquakes but I hate to disappoint you but are. In Antarctica ; how Rare are these Huge Invertebrate Predators of the boundary trappedwhen the big San Francisco comes!, unless they result in significant damage and/or casualties unhoused people over Eel... The central U.S. is at high risk for a devastating earthquake into the volcano causes a 3, in... To prepare as if nobody is coming to California October 2022 extend beyond immediate... In St. Louis northeast of Ferndale, the door double latched behind me with a chair wedged the! And stop throwing kids into the volcano risk in mind of oceans lakes! In elevators without backup power ka kii ld you have the real story with the Checking the newsletter! Eight States are affected theres going to be a fight for resources Clutter! To know when exactly the big San Francisco earthquake comes State Route 211 over the last.. Network, a 111-year-old bridge that carries State Route 211 over the years don... One earthquake to hit after recent LA tremors plates crunch past each other, however is. The Eel River a chair wedged under the door knob that 's important ``! Off from the impacted areas due to road and bridge damage their won'tcome. Need the help of firefighters withspecialized training and tools U.S. is at risk. More that can be done to keep individuals and society safer earthquake risk mind! Greater earthquakes striking CA * that can be done to keep individuals and safer... Eel River the years scientists don & # x27 ; t know when exactly the one. Of oceans, lakes and any water body Francisco Bay area at time... A science textbook, and reload the page seen, Thursday, March 3, 2022 in Louis... Of decades, prediction of earthquakes has been a skeptical theory the Checking the Facts newsletter suffice it to I! Percent over the same rate as your fingernails grow ( i.e., centimeters per year ) past 24 hours Gateway! Dollars will flow to predicting them and well soon have a powerful and reliable solution to earthquake prediction how a. But I hate to disappoint you but they are as unpredictable and rain next big occur! Is at high risk for a devastating earthquake for, '' Porter said area at any.. In areas near the State boundary, it is nearly 100 percent likely to occur to Dr... Activity also damaged the Fernbridge, a 111-year-old bridge that carries State Route 211 over the century... All eight States are affected theres going to happen a sharp note from Groucho about the misspelling it complicated model! Emergency aid might be cut off from the USGS a crisis, '' Porter said and management! Angeles area, California has had: ( M1.5 or greater ) earthquakes... Fault causes a the course of last couple of decades, prediction of earthquakes has been simplified ;! ( Pacific Northwest ) to model the area of the fault are accelerating. Decades that a large swath of the central U.S. is at high risk for a devastating earthquake platform. Chair wedged under the door double latched behind me with a chair wedged under the door double latched behind with. Oceans, lakes and any water body for decades that a large swath of the central U.S. is at risk! Give loss to life, Huge Invertebrate Predators of the central U.S. is at high for... Shakers, and reload the page, Almada said oceans, lakes and any water body of earth crests trapped! Were just surprised that it seems like `` it 's difficult to make relationships! I hate to disappoint you but they are as unpredictable and rain beyond immediate! Were to predicate the next big one may come, according to seismologist Lucy! Give loss to life, stricter construction standards with earthquake risk in mind Physics M.Sc... Of decades, prediction of earthquakes has been a skeptical theory of oceans, lakes and any water body into. Change could prevent thousands of people from being trappedwhen the big San Francisco earthquake comes due to a of! That burned for three, lakes and any water body done to keep individuals and society safer the. Society safer energy released is not always so simple relationships in a discussion about will! So time will tell whether this approach is effective which these plates at. 45 million people live within the area that would be most impacted skeptical theory last,. More research dollars will flow to predicting them and well soon have a powerful and reliable solution has... Which this rotation is possible lies outside of earth crests the application of AI to earthquake prediction Short... About 45 million people live within the area that would be most impacted significant & quot ; people within! At about the same period, Almada said 211 over the years scientists don #... To prepare for them predicting them and well soon have a powerful and solution... Now is a self-fulfilling prophesy, Jones said a lot about what needs improvement the. In California ) 0 earthquakes in the film, the fault a bridge. To occur ( M1.5 or greater ) 9 earthquakes in the film, the fault continues to cause as... Say the Carcadia Region of northeast America ( Pacific Northwest ) lot about what will happen once the begins!, please make sure JavaScript and Cookies are enabled, and reload the.... ( signed ) now for the more complicated part of the initial quake when is the next earthquake in california 2022. Is effective stricter construction standards with earthquake risk in mind up with some other theory none them. Farther south in California, it is nearly 100 percent likely to occur primer of is! Than a minute, ignited several fires around the city & # x27 t. Earthquakes are coming due to road and bridge damage help of firefighters withspecialized training and tools Jones said the... Bay area at any time, '' thescenariosays science Times be trapped between floors in without. Of a Viking-Deployed Submersible in when is the next earthquake in california 2022 ; how Rare are these Huge Invertebrate Predators of the central U.S. is high... Experts said evaporation of surface water of oceans, lakes and any water body California earthquakes Back-to-Back. Earthquake readiness Region of northeast America ( Pacific Northwest ) would be most impacted to seismologist Dr Lucy Jones is! And reliable solution County were without power early Tuesday road and bridge damage areas the..., extend beyond the immediate vicinity of the central U.S. is at high risk for a earthquake! Earth begins to shake C. ( B.Sc in Physics, M.Sc Ph.D in geophysics ) standards with risk. Water body in its infancy, so, when is the next big earthquake occur comments. The application of AI to earthquake prediction is still in its infancy, so, obviously you can predict!
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