This Saturday will see the 154th running of New York's horse racing classic, and Belmont Stakes odds have opened for betting. A horse doesnt have to have earned a triple-digit BSF before the Derby to win, but its also difficult to make an enormous leap of 10+ from a career-best in a prep race and win the Derby. Olympiad, with Junior Alvarado in the irons, rolled to a 2 -length victory in the July 2 Stephen Foster Stakes at Churchill Downs, his fifth win in a row to start off 2022. Simplification ran his career-best figure in October, but like Epicenter, he has been a very consistent runner throughout his campaign. We knew Olympiad was fast - he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February - but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a . Low 43F. We expect next year to go a lot different than this year because when you do right by a horse, you build a better product going forward. That is possible, Sadler said. The latter calculation compensates for a racetrack running faster or slower than usual. His Beyer Speed Figure of 92 is only 4 points off the second best number. Call 7032375030 for more information. In Europe, Timeform has a similar rating scale that yields a number, but with a different value. The track variant considers both the historical average time at the racetrack for the distance in question, called the "par time", and the average speed for the day in particular. Bob Weir revealed his 2022 Metropolitan Handicap picks ahead of Saturday's race, which is also known as the Met Mile . The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. BSFs were created by Andy Beyer and are a system for rating the performance of horses in North America. Three-year-old horses are expected to improve at this point in their careers, but this is also the first time any of them will run 1 1/4 mile. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses, Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back, Register for DFS, receive a free NBA Entry. The first published work on creating speed-figures was E.W. with a Beyer Speed Figure of 103, best of any contender and second fastest among 3-year-olds this year. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. Signup and get a $200 deposit bonus! ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe, These 19 horses have Saturday's highest speed figures. Call 1-800-GAMBLER if you have a gambling problem. Messier earned a 103 Beyer in the Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3). According to the Daily Racing Form's Jay Privman, the 118 is the highest number given to any horse since Shancelot (Shanghai Bobby) got a 121 when winning the 2019 GII Amsterdam S. at Saratoga. Messier's career high of 127 and Taiba's best of 125 top the field. He made a breakthrough in the early 1970s when he began to experiment with speed figures, and was confident enough in his methodology to write a book, Picking Winners, in 1975. }. The first Saturday in May approaches, which means the Kentucky Derby is coming. Why do we care? Hes a graduate of BGSU and works as an auditor for Google content curation products. Secret Oath's 103 number ranks as good as anyone who did not run in the Wood Memorial. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. Also note that this year's Wood Memorial (G2) and Santa Anita Derby (G1) came back the strongest of the prep races, based on Brisnet Speed Ratings. Epicenter's effort in the Risen Star earned him a 98 Beyer and Brisnet. margin: 3px; With a talented, 20-horse field expected to enter the starting gate, you NEED to see what racing insider and Beyer Speed Figure maker Bob Weir has to say before making any 2022 Kentucky Derby picks of your own. Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures are courtesy ofDaily Racing Form. .tableizer-table th { font-size: 12px; [14] Alysheba ran a 122 speed figure in his career. Sell. Epicenter, with Joel Rosario aboard, wins the $1 million Louisiana Derby horse race at Fair Grounds on Saturday, March 26, 2022. With a horse who did not make his debut until April of his 3-year-old year and , who has raced just three times over the span of eight months, trainer John Sadler has been very deliberate with Flightline. He has produced multiple five-figure days at the track over the years, including a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar in 2014. The Stephen Foster was the fifth straight triple-digit Beyer Speed Figure for Olympiad in 2022. . Similar to the Beyer and Brisnet scales, Secret Oath is in the thick of things from a numbers prospectivewhile challenging the males. Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. The Breeders Cup Classic is the marquee race of the two-day Breeders Cup World Championships to be held at Keeneland for the third time overall on Nov. 4-5, 2022, with 14Breeders Cup races offering $28million in purse money and awards. [15][16], Beyer speculated that had his figures existed in 1973, Secretariat would have scored 139 in his classic 1973 win at the Belmont Stakes. On the Equibase scale, the 100 she earned is tied for the second-best last-out figure. Beyer Speed Figures will sometimes be revised after they are originally published. font-weight: bold; In the Demoiselle, she ran a Beyer Speed Figure of 79 and an Equibase Speed Figure of 80, several lengths slower than the figures earned by the country's top 2-year-old filly, Echo Zulu. Baby Yoda finished second in the Malibu, but was never a threat to Flightline, who won eased up by 11 1/2 lengths. She turned in one of the best Beyer Speed Figures of any 2-year-old in 2021, and her 92 Beyer in the Honeybee Stakes last month was considerably better than Un Ojo's 84 in winning the Rebel . Kentucky Derby 2022: How do the speed figures stack up. As he grew up in Erie, Pa., attended Harvard College, and wrote a horse-racing column for the Washington Post, Andrew Beyers great passions were handicapping and betting. Not a subscriber? Creating these figures is the result of a very complex process that involves mathematical formulas and judgment calls . Belmont Stakes 2022: Post positions, morning line; We the People favored at 2-1. . So it's possible for a horse to earn a number that is higher than a horse who finished ahead. How do they stand up to last years group and what can we expect from these 20 horses? Click Here to sign up for a free subscription. We knew Olympiad was fast he set a new track record of 1:42.01 for 1 1/16 miles at Fair Grounds in winning the Mineshaft Stakes in February but watching him press a fast pace in the Stephen Foster and still finish with a final eighth of a mile in :12.53, according to Equibase, was especially impressive. Note that Crown Pride and Summer Is Tomorrow do not have relevant Beyer Speed Figures due to running outside the United States. He said the best input you can have is to make sure you don't have any input. She earned an impressive 98 Beyer Speed Figure in that race, the best of any Oaks rival by six points. Brisnet speed ratings are courtesy ofBrisnet. His Brisnet Ratings have improved from 76 to 98, and his TimeformUS numbers has gone from 98 to 116 in only three starts. Reach for the superlatives: Flightline and jockey Flavien Prat after a truly astonishing performance in the Pacific Classic. Sven Beyer. font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. Skippylongstocking had earned a prior best of only 94 in eight previous starts. APPLETON - Change can be difficult, but Appleton East guard Sammi Beyer is taking a positive approach to her senior season. They are meant to represent the racing merit of an Australian horse. The big step that I know for sure is that we want to get him stretched out, he said. Conversely, a Belmont MSW favorite with a figure of 90 will be formidable.Owners and trainers can employ pars to find proper spots for their horses. On 2016's Derby trail, the top number was the 103 earned by Exaggerator in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby. One of those came from Olympiad, who punched his ticket to the $6 million Longines Breeders Cup Classic with a win in the $740,000 Stephen Foster Stakes July 2 at Churchill Downs. They employ their judgment in analyzing any racing card and determining the track variant. University of Louisville Equine Industry Program - Get a Career in Horse Racing! . With A 118 Beyer, Flightline Heads Into 2022. Ran third in the Preakness, beaten 3 1/2 lengths by Early Voting, tabbed with a 100 Beyer Speed Figure at 10-1 . At 1 3/16 miles, its the longest Derby prep race, which is why the market looks extremely bullish on Epicenter. On the Beyer scale, the Santa Anita Derby was rated notably higher than the Wood. 0:49. If speed figures are correct, it could be more of the same in 2022. Bet with your head, not over it. He may just be the type of horse who is so fast than he needs ample time between races. Finley said that all decisions regarding a racing schedule will be made by Sadler. Photo: For losing horses, points are deducted according the lengths behind the winner and the distance of the race.Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track. Please visit gambleaware.co.uk or gamcare.org.uk for guidelines on responsible gaming. The bottom of the crop is equivalent in both years, with the lowest top-BSF at 83. Typically, Kentucky Derby field horses post BSF around or over 90. However, Beyer gave both colts a Beyer Speed Figure of 100. [9][10][11] Easy Goer ran a 122 in winning the 1989 Belmont Stakes, the best Beyer Speed Figure in any Triple Crown race since these ratings were first published in 1987. Following a five-month intensive process, Beyer, with partner Matt Hopkins and colleague Randy Moss, all the speed figures for 2015 turf races have been updated. Below we take a closer look at the Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Figures to determine his biggest threats. ** Get a $150 deposit match from AmWager + Daily Rewards**, Kentucky Derby prep: Gotham Stakes 2023 odds and analysis, Work tab: Cody's Wish drills for 1st time since Breeders' Cup win, Head to Head: Handicapping Fountain of Youth 2023, Romans wins weight battle, now looks to Fountain of Youth, Ky. Derby prep: 1 horse can beat Yakteen 5 in San Felipe. These were three of the eight highest figures earned in the 1990s. } He's advising bettors to consider speed figures and track conditions prior to wagering. Breeders Cup Promo - Get Up to $200 Back If Your First Bet Loses1 //logo version 1.0.2 - Jun 2022 TVG .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-1 { fill: #000001; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-2 { fill: #fff; } .cls-TVG-1a-svg-logo-3 { fill: #009c58; } Visit TVG$200 BONUSIf Your Bet LosesTVG ReviewGet Your First Single-Horse Win Wager BackUp to $200 If You LoseUse Promo Code: 200TVGPLAY NOW. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF.com today. Morello performed the worst last time out, surprisingly after winning his first three races. 60 Broad St. Sonora, CA (95370) Today. The Beyer team felt justified for putting the older horse's time in context with the pace and level of the race. Because multiple horses are in each race, as opposed to two teams (binary) in a sport (or chess, which uses the Elo rating system to make power ratings), the task of adjusting power ratings is much more complex. However, that came after the disqualification of Maximum Security. 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